THE MATCHDAY DESK

A clearer view of the game.

One match. One pick. Based on recent team performance.

Kick-off in EAT

Source: ESPN · Refreshes every 5 minutesAwaiting data

MATCHDAY SNAPSHOT

—Fixtures

—Analysed

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BEHIND THE NUMBERS

Form first.
Goals in context.

Recent performance

Up to 8 completed games per team, with more weight on recent results.

Goals, in context

Attack, defence and home advantage measured against the competition.

One clear selection

The highest estimated chance among home win, draw and away win.

How to read the numbers

A 40% pick can be the most likely individual outcome while still having a 60% chance of not winning. These estimates have not been backtested or calibrated.

The model uses up to 180 days of results and requires at least 3 games per team and 20 competition results. It does not include injuries, lineups or odds. Predictions are available before kick-off only.

Football stays unpredictable. Estimates are not guaranteed wins.